The 2025 BMW Championship returns to Caves Valley for the first time since 2021, and Scottie Scheffler is unsurprisingly favored as play is underway in Maryland.
Still, regardless of the course, this is an event that has eluded the World No. 1.
Let's take a look at the golf odds, the field, and the overall PGA landscape ahead of the season's second playoff event, being held through Sunday, August 17. While we're at it, don't forget to check out Neil Parker's BMW Championship predictions.
BMW Championship odds
BMW Championship field
Justin Rose emerged victorious over J.J. Spaun in a playoff to claim the FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind over the weekend, narrowly edging out Scottie Scheffler and Tommy Fleetwood, who tied for third.
Scheffler's inherent ability to be in the thick of the hunt even when he doesn't win has him as the clear betting favorite. At +240, though, there may not be a lot of value betting on him to win outright, considering the risk. He also hasn't won this tournament...yet. His best finish was a T2 in 23, when he and Matt Fitzpatrick finished two strokes behind winner Viktor Hovland at Olympia Fields.
When the BMW Championship was last held at Caves Valley in Owings Mills in 2021, Scheffler finished T22 as Patrick Cantlay outlasted Bryson DeChambeau in a playoff.
Cantlay (+2000) is a two-time BMW Championship winner, going back-to-back in 2021 and 2022. Having had some success already at Caves Valley, he may be a solid alternative to Scheffler.
The 33-year-old is in a bit shaky form, though. Before his T9 finish at TPC Southwind last weekend, he missed the cut at The Open Championship (one of three missed cuts among his four majors appearances in 2025) and had a T32 at the Rocket Classic.
Cantlay has had three Top-5 finishes in 2025, with the Truist Championship in May the last one.
Meanwhile, Rory McIlroy re-enters the field for the first time since a T7 at The Open. McIlroy has rattled off three straight Top 10s, and other than a T47 at the PGA Championship and a missed cut at the RBC Canadian Open, 2025 has been a fantastic year for Rory.
Keegan Bradley, last year's winner and a two-time victor at the event, is +5500 to win a third time.
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BMW Championship recent winners and odds history
Let's take a look at some recent BMW Championship winners and their closing odds to win:
| Year | Golfer | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Keegan Bradley | +12500 |
| 2023 | Viktor Hovland | +1600 |
| 2022 | Patrick Cantlay | +2000 |
| 2021 | Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
| 2020 | Jon Rahm | +900 |
| 2019 | Justin Thomas | +1400 |
| 2018 | Keegan Bradley | +10000 |
| 2017 | Marc Leishman | +4000 |
Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.
