LIV Golf Dallas Picks & Odds: Bryson, Rahm Head to Texas

LIV Golf will stay on American soil after a trip to Virginia in early June, this week heading to Maridoe Golf Club in the Dallas-Fort Worth area of Texas.

The top of the LIV Golf Dallas odds board is eerily familiar, with Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, and Joaquin Niemann occupying the first three spots.

Best LIV Golf Virginia picks

• Rahm to win outright (+550)
• Burmester over Casey (-115)
  
• Munoz 16th or worse (-120)

Picks made on 6-25.

LIV Golf Dallas odds

Player
Jon Rahm	+450
Bryson DeChambeau	+500
Joaquin Niemann	+750
Tyrrell Hatton	+1000
Carlos Ortiz	+1600
Sebastian Munoz	+2500
Patrick Reed	+2500
Lucas Herbert	+2500
David Puig	+2500
Brooks Koepka	+2800
Talor Gooch	+3000
Marc Leishman	+3000
Cameron Smith	+3000

Odds as of 6-24.

LIV Golf Dallas picks and predictions

Outright pick: Jon Rahm
+550 at bet365

The Spaniard is still chasing down his first win of the 2025 calendar year, and he has 10 Top-10 finishes across 11 events since the LIV Golf season began in February — perhaps even more impressive is the outlier being a solid T14 finish at the Masters.

Jon Rahm has gained true strokes across the board to rank second in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and 10th in putting. He’s also pacing the LIV circuit in greens-in-regulation percentage and is second in total birdies. The next of many more wins is coming sooner rather than later for Rahm.

Matchup pick: Dean Burmester over Paul Casey
-115 at DraftKings

While it hasn’t been a banner stretch for Dean Burmester, he still ranks ninth in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green, fifth on approach, and second in driving distance. The upside is there for a second LIV Golf win any week, while Paul Casey is in the twilight of his career.

Casey hasn’t won on the LIV circuit, and he’s also lost to Burmester in five of eight events this season. There’s also a huge gap in birdie percentage, with Burmester ranking fifth and Casey down at T26.

Finishing position pick: Sebastian Munoz 16th or worse
-120 at bet365

It was a sizzling start for Sebastian Munoz with three Top-10 finishes through the first four LIV events, but he’s only had one across the past four, and he’s lost true strokes on the greens in consecutive tournaments.

Munoz is a ball-striking star, but I’m skeptical he can card competitive scores consistently with his short-game struggles. He’s lost true strokes around the green and putting to respectively rank 21st and 36th in this field in the metrics across the past four LIV tournaments.

LIV Golf Dallas field and favorites

Three guys are kicking off the week with odds shorter than +1000. Jon Rahm is once again the top choice (+450), and his consistency to this point of the season has been notable. He's winless through eight LIV starts but hasn't finished worse than T9. He's also coming off a T7 at the U.S. Open.

Bryson DeChambeau (+500) is coming off a missed cut at the U.S. Open but has been stellar in his recent LIV showings, winning as recently as Korea in May and logging Top-5 finishes in the other three of his last four LIV starts.

Joaquin Niemann is third at +750 despite being the winningest player on LIV this season. He's already got four victories through eight starts this season, including in Virginia earlier this month. 

Tyrrell Hatton and Carlos Ortiz round out the Top 5 after matching T4 results at the U.S. Open. They can be had at 10/1 and 16/1, respectively. 

LIV Golf recent winners and odds history

Here are the recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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