The Donald Trump/Elon Musk feud is only a few days old and it's anyone's guess when and if they will get back in each other's good graces.
Kalshi, a regulated financial exchange and prediction market, has added 39 new questions on this topic alone, highlighted by "Will Trump or Elon apologize first this month?"
Key Takeaways
- Kalshi jumps on Trump/Musk feud with 39 new prediction markets.
- Highlighted market: "Will Trump or Elon apologize first this month?"
- Others involve whether Trump will be impeached, whether Musk will support Republican spending bill, and others.
An apology must occur between June 6-30 for this market to resolve yes. As of Sunday afternoon, Musk is at 24% to apologize first, with Trump at 3%. Both have dropped since 8:30 p.m. Saturday night, when Musk was at 31% and Trump was at 8%.
Kalshi allows traders to buy and sell contracts on the outcome of real-world events, such as weather, music festival cancellations, inflation, political spats, and more. The contract prices reflect traders' views on the likelihood of these events happening.
Musk has stated publicly that what is in the current Republican spending will add significant amounts to the country's debt.
Other markets to consider
- Will Trump be banned on X this year? Trump is currently at 8% that he will be.
- Will Musk support the Republican spending bill? Before July 1, Musk is a yes at 17%; before August 1, Musk is at 22%; before September 1, Mush is at 11%
- Will Trump be impeached again? Yes, 49%. Note, if he has been impeached before Jan. 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes and the President must hold the office when an impeachment resolution passes against him.
Kill Bill https://t.co/QcjNIuGrmd
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) June 5, 2025
Polymarket partners with X
Polymarket, another major prediction market company, announced Friday an official partnership with X and will serve as the social media platform's official prediction market partner.
Both combined for an integrated product that launched the same day.
