The 2025 NASCAR Cup Series heads to Pocono Raceway for the Great American Getaway 400, set to take place on Amazon Prime tomorrow at 2:00 p.m. EST.
This 2.5-mile triangle-shaped track, known as the “Tricky Triangle,” will challenge drivers with its unique layout and high speeds. Some are made for the challenge, well, others aren't. As such, I'm backing folks like Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, and William Byron who know how to stand tall when the Pocono straight tries to take 'em.
If you're looking for free betting picks, keep on reading below. They may sound "square" at first, but trust me, the numbers back these plays up.
NASCAR prop picks for The Great American Getaway 400
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Top 3 Finish: Denny Hamlin (+160 at bet365)
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Top 5 Finish: Kyle Larson (+120 at bet365)
- Top 5 Finish: William Byron (-110 at bet365)
NASCAR The Great American Getaway 400 props and best bets
Top 3 Finish: Denny Hamlin (+160 at bet365)
Okay, for some 'cappers, Denny Hamlin is like their version of SGA. For them, he's been a moneymaker.
Nevertheless, people like me, who tend to think they're better than everyone else because we "play the picks that our numbers back," would normally call playing Hamlin a "square bet."
Not this time.
Hamlin’s record at Pocono is unmatched among his peers: he leads all active Cup Series drivers in laps led (858 in 35 starts) and holds the outright record for most wins at the track with seven victories. His ability to consistently run up front is reflected in the fact that he has led 15% of all laps he has completed at Pocono.
Think about it, he's one of the most active drivers at the track.
Plus, Hamlin's 2025 season hasn't been all that bad with three wins, seven Top 5 finishes, and eight Top 10s through the first 15+ races. Although his average finish for the year is 13.47, this number is somewhat skewed by a handful of poor results due to accidents or mechanical issues.
When Hamlin is running well, he is almost always a threat to contend for wins and podium finishes, which is music to our prop betting ears.
I have Hamlin's price pegged in at +120 to finish in the Top 3, so getting 40 cents in value is great.
Of course, this could be a square play, but I'm willing to take the risk.
Top 5 Finish: Kyle Larson (+120 at bet365)
Don't get me wrong, Kyle Larson isn't the best driver to compete at Pocono. Far from it.
However, Larson’s track record at Pocono, while lacking a victory, is impressive.
In 17 starts, he has five Top 5 finishes and nine Top 10s, with an average finish of 11.6, fourth-best among active drivers at the track.
His ability to stay out of trouble and capitalize on opportunities is reflected in his solid average finish and the fact that he has led 158 laps over his Pocono career.
Through 15+ races in 2025, he has achieved three wins, nine Top 5 finishes, and 11 Top 10s — with an average finish of 11.2 and a total of 851 laps led.
That's not too shabby.
Yes, if he's not winning races, he's usually crashing out. That said, I'd reckon if there's ever been a track where he'll race clean, it's here at Pocono.
I have Larson pegged in at -110 to finish in the Top 5, so getting a bit of plus money has me dancing NASCAR's golden boy yet again.
Top 5 Finish: William Byron (-110 at bet365)
Byron leads all active Cup Series drivers in average finish at Pocono, with a remarkable 9.4 across 11 starts.
He has secured three Top 5 finishes and six Top 10 finishes at the track, while also leading 130 laps and qualifying on the pole twice.
Looking at the tape, Byron’s ability to start up front and maintain a strong track position is a key factor in his success here.
Like the two other drivers mentioned above, he's got a win under his belt and several Top 5 finishes.
At first, I thought his -110 odds to finish in the Top 5 were a bit steep, but if you look at his numbers, if his name were Denny Hamlin or something similar, one would think he'd be priced closer to -150 conservatively.
If Byron performs closer to his averages at Pocono, he'll be knocking on the door all day long to finish in the Top 5.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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