We’ve reached a pivotal swing point of the Stanley Cup Final.
The Florida Panthers can put the Edmonton Oilers on the brink of elimination with a Game 4 win. Conversely, the Oilers can even the series — and reclaim home ice in a best-of-three — if they’re able to get a win on Thursday night.
My NHL player prop predictions take a look at a few of the best ways to attack this massive contest with three NHL picks for Thursday, June 12.
Best Oilers vs Panthers props
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Arvidsson u1.5 SOG (-155) -
Reinhart o2.5 SOG (-130) - McDavid 1+ goal (+150)
Oilers vs Panthers player props for June 12
Viktor Arvidsson Under 1.5 shots on goal (-155 at BET99)
Viktor Arvidsson saw his role diminish as the Edmonton Oilers’ first-round series against Los Angeles continued to progress. He hasn’t been able to earn back minutes.
He has logged 12 minutes or fewer in eight of the last 10 games he’s played. The two exceptions came in Game 1 and Game 2 against Florida, both of which featured 19+ minutes of extra time. It was impossible for Arvidsson not to see more reps without completely taxing the rest of the roster.
Arvidsson is a constant on the fourth line right now and lengthy overtime games are about the only way he’ll see a decent chunk of ice time.
His shot outputs are reflective of that. Arvidsson has gone Under this line in eight of the last 10 and one of his Overs came in an overtime game. Arvidsson has been held shotless more times (three) than he’s cleared 1.5 shots in that span.
With Arvidsson very clearly an afterthought for the Oilers’ coaching staff, and the team heading into what’s essentially a do-or-die affair in Game 4, there’s no reason to expect an uptick in usage.
Sam Reinhart Over 2.5 shots on goal (-130 at BET99)
Sam Bennett may be scoring all the goals, but Sam Reinhart is the one I want to target for shots here.
Reinhart leads the Florida Panthers in shot attempts, shots on target, and scoring chances through the first three games of this series. He’s also gone over his shot total on all three occasions.
What I also like about Reinhart in this spot: is that he also has home ice. The former 50-goal scorer has generated shots at a much higher rate in Florida throughout the playoffs.
Reinhart is averaging 3.8 shots on 7.7 attempts per game in Florida compared to 2.6 shots on 5.6 attempts per game on the road. That’s a drastic difference.
This game figures to be more competitive than Game 3 was as well, which should lead to a more urgent game script where Reinhart and the Panthers still need to push to create offense.
Connor McDavid anytime goal (+150 at BET99)
There are three players listed with 3.5 shots on goal totals, and Connor McDavid has the shortest price to go Over the number. The market is expecting the shots to be there from the league’s best player, and for good reason.
McDavid has generated shots at a much higher rate in the playoffs than in the regular season. Good ones, too, as McDavid leads the entire series in expected goals.
He is playing more trigger-happy than ever and the chances continue to be there each and every night.
At a +150 price point, there’s plenty of value in backing one of those chances to finally find the back of the net. He’s too good, and creating too much, for the goals to evade him.
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Oilers vs Panthers betting resources
- Oilers vs. Panthers anytime goalscorer picks
- Oilers vs. Panthers prediction
- Matthew Tkachuk picks
- Connor McDavid picks
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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