Lions vs Alouettes Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Week 5

Ponnaiya's prediction: After a rare setback in Hamilton, Montreal will regain traction against the reeling Leos.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jul 4, 2025 • 16:04 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Tyrice Beverette Montreal Alouettes CFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Montreal Alouettes linebacker Tyrice Beverette (26) reacts after a play.

The BC Lions face off against the Montreal Alouettes in Week 5 action on Saturday.

The Als are coming off their first loss of the year, and my Lions vs. Alouettes predictions expect them to bounce back at home.

Here are my best free CFL picks for July 5.

Lions vs Alouettes prediction

My Lions vs Alouettes pick: Alouettes -2.5 (-110 at BET99)

The Montreal Alouettes are coming off their first defeat of the year after losing 35-17 in Hamilton last week.

Montreal's offense struggled without quarterback Davis Alexander, mustering just 226 net yards and 4.1 yards per play.

Alexander has been ruled out for the second straight game, while wideout Austin Mack and All-Star right tackle Nick Callender are also sidelined.

Defensively, they will also be missing a key player in Lorenzo Burns, who is the highest-graded defensive back in the league per PFF.

Meanwhile, the BC Lions announced that QB Nathan Rourke will be available after missing the last two weeks with an oblique injury.

The QB news for both sides has moved the line from Montreal -5.5 to -2.5, which I think is an over-correction.

McLeod Bethel-Thompson is coming off an ugly performance against Hamilton, but he's a veteran passer and is usually more efficient than he was last week.

BC's defense is also vulnerable and has surrendered 32.7 ppg over the last three games.

Although Rourke is a stud, he's protected by a below-average line that will face a stout Montreal front four. 

The Als have allowed the fewest yards per game (308.0) and yards per play (5.73) in the CFL, and they also lead the league in turnovers forced (12) while ranking second in sacks (11).

With Montreal going 11-4 SU and 9-4-2 ATS in its last 15 games at home, back its stingy defense to lead to a win and cover.

Lions vs Alouettes same-game parlay (SGP)

Alouettes -2.5

Over 49.5

Montreal's offense is at a buy-low spot due to last week's performance from Bethel-Thompson, where the veteran gunslinger was picked off three times. 

Expect a bounce-back performance from him against a leaky Lions D.

That said, I'm also expecting a more explosive Leos attack with Rourke back under center. He should do enough to push this game Over the total.

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Lions vs Alouettes odds

Lions vs Alouettes live odds

Lions vs Alouettes opening odds

  • Spread: BC +5.5 (-115) | Montreal -5.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: BC +180 | Montreal -220
  • Over/Under: Over 49.5 (-110) | Under 49.5 (-110)

Lions vs Alouettes trend

Montreal is 6-3-1 ATS in its last 10 matchups against BC. Find more CFL betting trends for Lions vs. Alouettes.

How to watch Lions vs Alouettes and game info

Location Percival Molson Stadium, Montreal, QC
Date Saturday, 7-5-2025
Kick-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Lions vs Alouettes key injuries

Lions: Dejon Allen OT (Out), DeWayne Hendrix DT (Out), Jonah Tavai DT (Out).
Alouettes: Davis Alexander QB (Out), Austin Mack WR (Out), Nick Callender OT (Out), Dylan Wynn DT (Out), Mustafa Johnson DT (Out), Lorenzo Burns DB (Out).

Lions vs Alouettes weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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