Horse Trainer bet365
Journalism Michael McCarthy +333
Sovereignty Bill Mott +600
Luxor Cafe Noriyuki Hori +1000
Sandman Mark Casse +1200
Tappan Street Brad Cox +1200
Burnham Square Ian Wilkes +1400
Rodriguez Bob Baffert +1400
Citizen Bull Bob Baffert +2000
East Avenue Brendan Walsh +2000
Tiztastic Steve Asmussen +2000
Baeza John Shirreffs +2000
Coal Battle Lonnie Briley +2500
Final Gambit Brad Cox +2500
Grande Todd Pletcher +2500
Publisher Steve Asmussen +3300
Chunk of Gold Ethan West +3300
American Promise D. Wayne Lukas +3300
Admire Daytona Yukihiro Kato +4000
Madaket Road Bob Baffert +4000
Built Wayne Catalano +4000

Odds as of 4-16.

🏇 Top contenders & odds

  • Journalism (3.33-1): The winner of the Santa Anita Derby, Journalism is currently a clear-cut favorite.
  • Sovereignty (6-1): Triumphed in the Fountain of Youth Stakes and ran second in the Florida Derby.
  • Luxor Cafe (10-1): Won the Fukuryu Stakes on the Japan road to the Derby, good for his fourth straight victory.
  • Sandman (12-1): Has had issues with slow starts but secured victory in the Arkansas Derby.
  • Tappan Street (12-1): Clinched the Florida Derby, a race known for producing many Kentucky Derby winners.

🔍 Expert insights

Journalism is a deserving favorite off his Santa Anita Derby win, but Tappan Street is a solid alternative. Tappan Street has raced just three times, beating maidens before taking second in the Holy Bull and first in the Florida Derby. The upside is there as he continues to drill well for 2021 Derby-winning trainer Brad Cox.

  • Rodriguez: Shined in Wood Memorial when allowed to set the pace.
  • Burnham Square: Shook off a disappointing Fountain of Youth effort with a Blue Grass Stakes score.
  • Chunk of Gold: Tends to roll late, should relish added ground.

🐴 Spotlight: Journalism

Trainer: Michael McCarthy
Sire: Curlin
Recent Form: 1st - Santa Anita Derby

Journalism beat a well-regarded runner in Gaming in the Los Alamitos Futurity to close out his two-year-old career, then grinded down prize colt Barnes to kick off his sophomore campaign in the San Felipe Stakes. He punched his ticket to Churchill in the Santa Anita Derby over Baeza, with the Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Citizen Bull as well as Barnes far behind.

Journalism has Curlin on top and Uncle Mo on the bottom of his pedigree, so he's bred to run all day and age like fine wine.

🎯 Kentucky Derby long shot to watch: Coal Battle

Coal Battle was much closer to an Arkansas Derby pace that completely fell apart than eventual winner Sandman or runner-up Publisher was, and that may have taken the starch out of his late kick. This son of Coal Front had won each of his prior four starts, including the Grade II Rebel Stakes two-back.


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Who won the Kentucky Derby, and what were the odds?

Although the Kentucky Derby favorite dominated at Churchill Downs from 2013 to 2018, Country House won the Run for the Roses in 2019 as the second-biggest underdog in Derby history at 65/1. Just three years later, Rich Strike surpassed Country House when he won the "Run for the Roses" at 80/1.

Here are the winners of the Kentucky Derby since 2000, their post positions, and their final odds.

Year Kentucky Derby Winner Post Position Final Odds
2024 Mystik Dan 3 18/1
2023 Mage 8 14/1
2022 Rich Strike 20 80/1
2021 Medina Spirit 8 12/1
2020 Authentic 18 8/1
2019 Country House 20 65/1
2018 Justify 7 5/2
2017 Always Dreaming 5 9/2
2016 Nyquist 13 2/1
2015 American Pharoah 18 5/2
2014 California Chrome 5 5/2
2013 Orb 16 5/1
2012 I'll Have Another 19 15/1
2011 Animal Kingdom 16 20/1
2010 Super Saver 4 8/1
2009 Mine That Bird 8 50/1
2008 Big Brown 20 7/2
2007 Street Sense 7 9/2
2006 Barbaro 3 6/1
2005 Giacomo 10 50/1
2004 Smarty Jones 13 4/1
2003 Funny Cide 5 13/1
2002 War Emblem 5 41/2
2001 Monarchos 16 21/2
2000 Fusaichi Pegasus 15 9/5

🎓 Betting education and resources