Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Nathan Eovaldi has grown into being one of baseball's most reliable starters and the Rangers righty will mow down the Red Sox, notching at least seven strikeouts at his old Fenway stomping grounds.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
May 6, 2025 • 14:46 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Nathan Eovaldi Texas Rangers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Rangers SP Nathan Eovaldi delivers a pitch at Globe Life Field.

The Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox begin a three-game set at Fenway Park tonight.

Texas will send former Boston pitcher Nathan Eovaldi to the mound and my Rangers vs. Red Sox predictions are betting on him to have a big day against his old team.

Here are my best free MLB picks for this AL showdown on May 6.

Rangers vs Red Sox prediction

My Rangers vs Red Sox best bet: Nathan Eovaldi 7+ strikeouts (+140 at bet365)

Nathan Eovaldi was a reliable part of the Boston Red Sox rotation for almost five years. His best year came in 2021 when he led the majors in FIP (2.79) and finished fourth in voting for the AL Cy Young Award.

Eovaldi has been solid since joining the Texas Rangers in 2023 and he's currently in the midst of a career-best year. The right-hander has pitched to a 2.11 ERA with an MLB-best 0.77 WHIP through seven starts. 

Eovaldi has fanned at least seven batters in five of seven starts this year, including each of his last three outings. He's in the Top 20th percentile in strikeout rate (28.2%) and the Top 25th in whiff rate (28.6%). 

The Red Sox have a productive offense but they don't always make contact, striking out at the seventh-highest rate in the majors (23.3%) and ranking 28th in whiff rate (27.9%).

Rangers vs Red Sox same-game parlay (SGP)

Nathan Eovaldi 7+ strikeouts

Nathan Eovaldi Under 1.5 walks

Adolis Garcia 1+ hitter strikeouts

I'm backing Eovaldi on his Ks prop and I also like him to go Under 1.5 walks. He has gone below this number in seven of his last eight starts going back to last year. 

Eovaldi has the lowest BB/9 rate in the majors and he's been among the league leaders in that category in four of the last six years. Boston is 12th in walk rate (9.5%) with that number dropping to 4.3% in its last three games. 

Rangers outfielder Adolis Garcia has struck out 32 times in 34 games this year, fanning at least once in 15 of his last 16 contests. Garcia has struck out four times in 12 career at-bats against tonight's starter, Lucas Giolito.

After missing last year due to an elbow injury, Giolito made his season debut last Wednesday. He fanned seven batters through the first five innings to prove he can still make batters miss.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Rangers vs Red Sox odds

Rangers vs Red Sox live odds

Rangers vs Red Sox opening odds

  • Moneyline: Texas -120 | Boston +100
  • Run line: Texas -1.5 (+150) | Boston +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (+100) | Under 9 (-120

Rangers vs Red Sox trend

The Red Sox have gone below their team total in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.25 Units / 19% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Red Sox.

How to watch Rangers vs Red Sox and game info

Location Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Date Tuesday, 5-6-2025
First pitch 6:45 p.m. ET
TV RSN, NESN
Rangers starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi
(2-2, 2.11 ERA)
Red Sox starting pitcher Lucas Giolito
(0-0, 4.50 ERA)

Rangers vs Red Sox latest injuries

Rangers vs Red Sox weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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