2025 Rookie of the Year Odds: Horton's Pulling Away

Cubs SP Cade Horton is gaining separation from the pack in the NL, with Drake Baldwin the most realistic alternative.

Jason Wilson - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jason Wilson • Betting Analyst
Sep 16, 2025 • 10:18 ET • 7 min read
Cade Horton Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - IMAGN Images. Cubs rookie Cade Horton before his windup.

The NL Rookie of the Year race is finally gaining some separation.

Chicago Cubs right-hander Cade Horton is watching his MLB odds shorten with every passing week. He was as long as +100 a week ago, with the best number available now being -150.

Horton is 10-4 with a 2.70 ERA in 110 innings. He hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last 10 outings, sporting a sparkling 0.84 ERA across 53 1/3 innings since July 20. The strikeout numbers haven't been there, but that has hardly put a dent in his effectiveness. 

Atlanta Braves catcher Drake Baldwin is his closest competition, and he's had a rock-solid season that perhaps should give him more attention in this market. He's batting .268/.337/.439 with 16 home runs in 112 games.

Odds to win 2025 AL Rookie of the Year

Player DraftKings FanDuel bet365
Athletics Nick Kurtz  -20000 -20000 -6600
Red Sox Roman Anthony +1600 +2000 +1600
Athletics Jacob Wilson OTB +5000 +5000
Astros Cam Smith +7500 OTB +7500
Yankees Jasson Dominguez +7500 OTB +7500
Rays Chandler Simpson +10000 OTB +10000
Royals Noah Cameron +10000 OTB +10000

Odds as of 9-2. Off the board as of 9-9.

Odds to win 2025 NL Rookie of the Year

Player DraftKings FanDuel bet365
Cubs Cade Horton -160 -150 -150
Braves Drake Baldwin  +150 +130 +140
Brewers Isaac Collins +900 +1100 +1000
Cubs Matt Shaw +7000 +6500 +6500
Brewers Caleb Durbin  +7500 +6500 +7500
Marlins Agustin Ramirez   +15000 +15000 +15000
Brewers Jacob Misiorowski  +15000 +20000 +15000
Marlins Jakob Marsee +20000 +15000 +15000
Reds Chase Burns +20000 OTB +20000

Odds as of 9-16.

ROY betting splits

AL Rookie of the Year

Highest Ticket%

  • Jac Caglianone, Royals - 11.4%
  • Jacob Wilson, A's - 11.4%
  • Jackson Jobe, Tigers - 9.1%

Highest Handle%

  • Jacob Wilson, A's - 32.1%
  • Nick Kurtz, A's - 10.1%
  • Roman Anthony, Red Sox - 8%

Biggest Liability

  • Jacob Wilson, A's

NL Rookie of the Year

Highest Ticket%

  • Matt Shaw, Cubs - 9.8%
  • Drake Baldwin, Braves - 9.6%
  • Jacob Misiorowski, Brewers - 8.8%

Highest Handle%

  • Jacob Misiorowski, Brewers - 19.7%
  • Drake Baldwin, Braves - 19.5% 
  • Isaac Collins, Brewers - 7.1%

Biggest Liability

  • Jacob Misiorowski, Brewers

Data courtesy of BetMGM.

Past Rookie of the Year winners

Previous AL RoY winners

Although all players have an equal chance of winning the AL Rookie of the Year Award, the honor has been claimed disproportionately by outfielders since its inception in 1949. Outfielders have 24 victories compared to 17 for pitchers and 17 for shortstops. Catchers are bringing up the rear with just two ROY victories over the past 72 years.

Year Player
2024 Yankees Luis Gil (SP)
2023 Orioles Gunnar Henderson (3B/SS)
2022 Mariners Julio Rodriguez (OF)
2021 Rays Randy Arozarena (OF)
2020 Mariners Kyle Lewis (OF)
2019 Astros Yordan Alvarez (OF)
2018 AngelsShohei Ohtani (P/OF)
2017 Yankees Aaron Judge (OF)
2016 Tigers Michael Fulmer (SP)
2015 Astros Carlos Correa (SS)
2014 White SoxJose Abreau (1B)
2013 Rays Wil Myers (OF)

Popular MLB futures markets

Previous NL RoY winners

No franchise has won more Rookie of the Year awards than the Dodgers. "The Blue Crew" have claimed 18 RoY trophies dating back to the club's early days in Brooklyn.

However, unlike the AL — where the West has been the recent home of the top rookies — the NL East has housed five of the last 12 RoYs, with a mix of outfielders, infielders, starting pitchers, and even a reliever.

Year Player (Team)
2024 Pirates Paul Skenes (SP)
2023 Diamondbacks Corbin Carroll (OF)
2022 Braves Michael Harris (OF)
2021 Reds Jonathan India (2B)
2020 Brewers Devin Williams (RP)
2019 Mets Pete Alonso (1B)
2018 Braves Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF)
2017 Dodgers Cody Bellinger (1B/OF)
2016 Dodgers Cory Seager (SS)
2015 Cubs Kris Bryant (3B)
2014 Mets Jacob deGrom (SP)
2013 Marlins Jose Fernandez (SP)

MLB Rookie of the Year Awards FAQ

Pages related to this topic

Jason Wilson Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Jason Wilson is an experienced journalist who has worked in a variety of roles within the industry for the past 18 years. Working at community newspapers in New Brunswick, Jason wore many hats as a reporter, editor, and photographer, covering everything from sports to courts to municipal politics. After shifting gears and working as an educator for a few years in the 2010s, Jason returned to full-time work in media as an MLB news editor for six years at theScore in Toronto before joining Covers in late 2021.

He has honed his editorial acumen over his years in the industry, showcasing flexibility, patience, and a strong work ethic. While he was relatively new to sports betting upon joining Covers, Jason has taken the plunge with gusto to learn the ins and outs of the industry, both as a method to improve professionally and to add an extra angle to his sports fandom.

In addition to sports, Jason is an avid film nut and former movie critic who monitors the Academy Awards betting odds for Covers. Jason holds a Bachelor of Arts in journalism degree and a Bachelor of Education degree from St. Thomas University.

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