Nothing brings out the prediction crowd quite like the NFL season.
From once-per-week football bloggers to former-players-turned-experts and everyone in-between, it seems that anyone with even a casual interest in the gridiron has thoughts on which team will win the Super Bowl. And you can add Covers to the list, as we turned to our in-house supercomputer to produce a comprehensive set of projections aimed at determining who will hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy at season's end.
We ran 10,000 simulations of the 2025 NFL season and postseason; here's a detailed look at the results of our model:
Key Takeaways
🏈 The Buffalo Bills have the highest chance of winning the Super Bowl, coming in at 15.68% in our supercomputer results
🔮 The Baltimore Ravens are next in line with a 9.21% chance of capturing the NFL title
📈 The Tampa Bay Buccaneers come in with the highest Super Bowl title probability of any NFC team at 6.98%
🐦 The Philadelphia Eagles have just a 5.44% chance of repeating as Super Bowl champs, according to the supercomputer
😬 Empire State of Disarray: The Jets and Giants have the lowest chance of securing the title, at 0.14% and 0.11%, respectively
Here's a breakdown of the supercomputer results, with teams ranked from highest to lowest chance at winning the Super Bowl:
NFL supercomputer 2025 predictions
| Team | Projected Wins | Super Bowl | Implied Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
 Buffalo Bills |
10.92 | 15.68% | +538 |
 Baltimore Ravens |
10.17 | 9.21% | +986 |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
10.03 | 8.08% | +1,138 |
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
9.82 | 6.98% | +1,333 |
 Green Bay Packers |
9.90 | 6.58% | +1,420 |
 San Francisco 49ers |
9.83 | 5.77% | +1,633 |
 Philadelphia Eagles |
9.46 | 5.44% | +1,738 |
 Dallas Cowboys |
9.73 | 5.39% | +1,755 |
 New Orleans Saints |
9.34 | 3.98% | +2,413 |
 Cincinnati Bengals |
8.91 | 3.19% | +3,035 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
8.91 | 2.80% | +3,471 |
 Los Angeles Chargers |
8.74 | 2.75% | +3,536 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
8.68 | 2.56% | +3,806 |
 Seattle Seahawks |
8.79 | 2.46% | +3,965 |
 Miami Dolphins |
8.67 | 2.38% | +4,102 |
 Minnesota Vikings |
8.51 | 2.19% | +4,466 |
 Detroit Lions |
8.30 | 1.94% | +5,055 |
 Pittsburgh Steelers |
8.14 | 1.53% | +6,436 |
 Tennessee Titans |
8.26 | 1.43% | +6,893 |
 New England Patriots |
8.03 | 1.39% | +7,094 |
 Denver Broncos |
8.16 | 1.39% | +7,094 |
 Arizona Cardinals |
8.11 | 1.37% | +7,199 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
7.96 | 0.93% | +10,653 |
 Cleveland Browns |
7.67 | 0.87% | +11,394 |
 Washington Commanders |
7.73 | 0.85% | +11,665 |
 Atlanta Falcons |
7.68 | 0.76% | +13,058 |
 Houston Texans |
7.36 | 0.57% | +17,444 |
 Jacksonville Jaguars |
7.49 | 0.55% | +18,082 |
 Chicago Bears |
7.14 | 0.42% | +23,710 |
 Carolina Panthers |
6.57 | 0.31% | +32,158 |
 New York Jets |
6.50 | 0.14% | +71,329 |
 New York Giants |
6.48 | 0.11% | +90,809 |
NFL supercomputer divisional winners and playoff predictions
AFC East: Buffalo Bills
Projected W-L record: 11-6
Odds to make playoffs: 87.64%
Odds to win divisional round: 42.44%
Odds to win AFC championship: 26.18%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 15.68%
Forget about the Bills' famous struggles to win their first-ever NFL championship: This might be the league's most complete team, and our supercomputer agrees. QB Josh Allen and Co. have a significant edge over the rest of the NFL when it comes to their chances of making the playoffs, advancing to the championship game, and winning the title.
Supercomputer prediction: Super Bowl champion
AFC North: Baltimore Ravens
Projected W-L record: 10-7
Odds to make playoffs: 76.46%
Odds to win divisional round: 30.02%
Odds to win AFC championship: 16.20%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 9.21%
Like the Bills, the Ravens are perennial contenders thanks in large part to their own elite quarterback, Lamar Jackson. And while our supercomputer doesn't have the Ravens quite as high as the Bills, it wouldn't surprise anyone to see them as the AFC's representative at Super Bowl LX next February at Levi's Stadium.
Supercomputer prediction: AFC championship finalist
AFC South: Indianapolis Colts
Projected W-L record: 9-8
Odds to make playoffs: 55.23%
Odds to win divisional round: 13.05%
Odds to win AFC championship: 5.80%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 2.80%
Our first true supercomputer surprise comes courtesy of the AFC South, where the selection of the Colts as division winners flies in the face of most predictions – including oddsmakers, most of whom have Indy as the No. 3 choice to win the division. However, the supercomputer doesn't like any AFC South team to do much in the postseason, so don't expect a deep run from any of those clubs if our simulations are to be believed.
Supercomputer prediction: Wild-card weekend exit
AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs
Projected W-L record: 10-7
Odds to make playoffs: 73.81%
Odds to win divisional round: 27.13%
Odds to win AFC championship: 14.43%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 8.08%
Imagine a scenario where the three best NFL teams all play in the same conference. That's how our supercomputer shaped this season's football landscape – and even more unfathomable is that the Chiefs – far and away the best team of the last decade – are considered the least likely of the three to reach the Super Bowl. Supercomputer Hate-orade alert!
Supercomputer prediction: Divisional round exit
NFC East: Philadelphia Eagles
Projected W-L record: 9-8
Odds to make playoffs: 63.55%
Odds to win divisional round: 21.74%
Odds to win NFC championship: 11.11%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 5.44%
Good news, Eagles fans! You barely (and I mean barely) edged out those dastardly Dallas Cowboys for the divisional crown in our supercomputer simulations. Unfortunately, we don't like you getting much farther than that – so it's probably a good idea to keep those expectations in check and not get too hyped for an NFL championship repeat.
Supercomputer prediction: Divisional round exit
NFC North: Green Bay Packers
Projected W-L record: 10-7
Odds to make playoffs: 71.45%
Odds to win divisional round: 25.05%
Odds to win NFC championship: 13.24%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 6.58%
Three teams have a legitimate shot at winning this division (so sorry, Bears fans), and all three are among the favorites to win the NFC title. Our supercomputer was surprisingly bullish on the Packers, who have the fifth-best chances of winning the Super Bowl based on the 10,000 simulations we ran. Angry Lions fans, please form an orderly queue.
Supercomputer prediction: NFC championship finalist
NFC South: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Projected W-L record: 10-7
Odds to make playoffs: 70.44%
Odds to win divisional round: 24.33%
Odds to win NFC championship: 13.51%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 6.98%
Arrrrrrr you serious? (We are, promise.) Sure, the Bucs are expected to win a perennially weak NFC South yet again, but they're also just the No. 8 favorite to represent the NFC in the Big Game according to the latest conference champion odds. And yet, our supercomputer likes them to do just that.
Supercomputer prediction: Super Bowl finalist
NFC West: San Francisco 49ers
Projected W-L record: 10-7
Odds to make playoffs: 68.51%
Odds to win divisional round: 22.63%
Odds to win NFC championship: 12.09%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 5.77%
The 49ers endured plenty of turmoil and turnover of late, but the supercomputer believes San Francisco will shake that all off en route to another NFC West crown. Still, this is a tough time to not be a truly top-flight NFC team, with the Eagles, Lions, Cowboys, Packers, Bucs and Vikings ready to make life miserable for their opponents.
Supercomputer prediction: Divisional round exit
And about the other New York teams ...
New York Jets
Projected W-L record: 6-11
Odds to make playoffs: 10.23%
Odds to win divisional round: 1.37%
Odds to win AFC championship: 0.47%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 0.14%
Escaping the Aaron Rodgers circus might be the best news the Jets receive this year. They have the fifth-worst betting odds to reach the Super Bowl – and our supercomputer is even more ruthless when it comes to their chances of success, ranking them second-last. In other words ... expect more of the same, Jets fans, and carry on as usual.
Supercomputer prediction: Pain
New York Giants
Projected W-L record: 6-11
Odds to make playoffs: 9.92%
Odds to win divisional round: 1.21%
Odds to win NFC championship: 0.41%
Odds to win Super Bowl: 0.11%
The New Orleans Saints and Cleveland Browns have longer betting odds to win the Super Bowl – but when it comes to our 10,000 full-season simulations, no team is expected to fare worse than the New York Giants. The supercomputer has the G-Men as the only NFL team with a lower than 10% chance of even making the playoffs. That's dire.
Supercomputer prediction: The most pain
Methodology
Our NFL supercomputer ran the results of every 2025 NFL regular-season game and subsequent playoff bracket 10,000 times.
