We’re under two months away from Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season, and bettors are already showing their appetite for football's imminent return by diving into preseason futures.
Among the many futures offered at BetMGM are markets for passing yards and passing touchdowns.
With the public bullish on Dak Prescott to surpass his touchdown total, let’s dive into the latest NFL odds and break down where the best value lies.
Most bet passing yards (by tickets)
| Player | Passing Yards | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  J.J. McCarthy |
Over 3,750.5 |
| 2 |  Caleb Williams |
Over 3,550.5 |
| 3 |  Joe Burrow |
Over 4,200.5 |
| 4 |  Sam Darnold |
Under 3,450.5 |
| 5 |  Tua Tagovailoa |
Under 3,500.5 |
All data courtesy of BetMGM.
Minnesota Vikings quarterback J.J. McCarthy headlines the most-bet passing props at BetMGM, with tickets pouring in on the first-year pivot to eclipse 3,750.5 yards.
Bettors are banking on Kevin O'Connell’s magic working on McCarthy the same way it did for Sam Darnold last season. However, there’s a reason for caution... McCarthy topped 300 passing yards just three times in 28 starts at Michigan.
Meanwhile, the public is expecting a sophomore leap from Chicago Bears QB Caleb Williams, and the former No. 1 overall pick came just 10 yards short of clearing this prop last season. I’m here for it, especially after seeing Ben Johnson work wonders with Jared Goff in Detroit.
My best bet: Patrick Mahomes Over 4,050.5 passing yards (-110 at BetMGM)
The combination of a humiliating Super Bowl loss and a healthy receiving corps has me extremely bullish on Patrick Mahomes rebounding with a vengeance.
Mahomes has been raving all offseason about his receivers, and for good reason. Rashee Rice is expected to be 100% following last year's ACL tear, making him a matchup nightmare out of the slot. He’ll be flanked on the outside by speedsters Xavier Worthy and Hollywood Brown, giving Mahomes the option for a deep shot on every play.
While Travis Kelce may not be the same player he once was, the chemistry between the 10-time Pro Bowler and Mahomes remains unmatched. Additionally, fourth-round pick Jalen Royals could add another dimension to this Kansas City Chiefs offense.
Expect Andy Reid to ramp up the passing game and bring back the gunslinging Mahomes we saw early in his career.
Popular NFL futures markets
Most bet passing touchdowns (by tickets)
| Player | Passing Touchdowns | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dak Prescott |
Over 26.5 |
| 2 | Caleb Williams |
Over 22.5 |
| 3 |  Jordan Love |
Over 24.5 |
| 4 | Sam Darnold |
Under 20.5 |
| 5 |  Justin Fields |
Over 14.5 |
All data courtesy of BetMGM.
The Dallas Cowboys' win total is listed at 7.5, and the public expects Dak Prescott to once again post hollow, empty-calorie numbers.
While the Cowboys lack any discernible weapons at wide receiver beyond CeeDee Lamb, you can absolutely justify this play. Make no bones about it, Dallas will be trailing coming out of halftime more often than not, and there’s no better quarterback in garbage time than Rayne Dakota Prescott.
After throwing for 20 touchdowns last season, Caleb Williams is also expected to see a significant boost in red-zone efficiency under his new Bears head coach.
My best bet: Justin Herbert Under 22.5 passing touchdowns (-110 at BetMGM)
As much as Justin Herbert was a pure gunslinger during his time at Oregon and the early part of his career with the Los Angeles Chargers, Jim Harbaugh essentially transformed the star pivot into a game manager last season, adopting the same run-heavy approach that brought him success at Michigan.
With the Chargers doubling down on the ground game by drafting Omarion Hampton and signing bulldozer Najee Harris, expect Herbert's red-zone passing output to dip yet again.
Herbert has failed to eclipse 25 passing touchdowns in three straight seasons, including throwing just 23 in 17 starts last year.
