Aaron Judge is unstoppable and his line keeps shortening in the MVP odds race.
The MLB odds aren't giving anyone much of a chance to catch him and it's easy to see why.
Let's break down the races in this week's AL & NL MVP odds.
Odds to win AL MVP 2025
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron Judge |
-2000 | -1450 | -1600 |
 Bobby Witt Jr. |
+1300 | +1200 | +1200 |
 Alex Bregman |
+5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
 Gunnar Henderson |
+7500 | +9000 | +8000 |
 Cal Raleigh |
+7500 | +9000 | +8000 |
 Jose Ramirez |
+9000 | +10000 | +10000 |
 Spencer Torkelson |
+9000 | +9000 | +8000 |
 Wyatt Langford |
+9000 | +10000 | +8000 |
Odds as of 5-12.
AL MVP odds analysis
Since our last update, Aaron Judge navigated a brief downturn, going just 1-for-10 across three games vs. the San Diego Padres — the lone hit, of course, was a home run) before torturing the A's in Sacramento.
Judge went 7-for-14 with two home runs, two doubles, and five RBI in the three-game set. Yes, it's only May, but he's hitting like he's prime Barry Bonds but opposing pitchers appear content in staying in the strike zone. Perhaps the most surprising aspect of Judge's young season is he's walking less often than he has since 2021.
He's also striking out less frequently than ever, putting forth some of the best batted-ball numbers of his career. He's an impossible out and I have no idea why pitchers aren't just sending him to first base.
Aaron Judge games with 0 hits in 2025: 6
— MLB (@MLB) May 11, 2025
Aaron Judge games with 3+ hits in 2025: 7 pic.twitter.com/in41d9TfPl
This market is more or less dead until he slumps hard or gets hurt and I wouldn't bank on either happening any time soon.
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Odds to win NL MVP 2025
| Player | |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
 Shohei Ohtani |
+170 | +170 | +170 |
 Kyle Tucker |
+450 | +650 | +550 |
 Fernando Tatis Jr. |
+500 | +600 | +550 |
 Corbin Carroll |
+800 | +850 | +800 |
 Pete Alonso |
+800 | +750 | +750 |
| Freddie Freeman |
+1100 | +1200 | +1200 |
| Juan Soto |
+1300 | +1200 | +1200 |
| Francisco Lindor |
+2500 | +2200 | +2500 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong |
+3000 | +5000 | +4000 |
| Jackson Merrill |
+3500 | +3000 | +3300 |
 Kyle Schwarber |
+4000 | +8000 | +6000 |
| Mookie Betts |
+6500 | +8000 | +7500 |
 Elly De La Cruz |
+6500 | +8000 | +7000 |
| Bryce Harper |
+6500 | +7500 | +7000 |
 Austin Riley |
+8000 | +7000 | +7500 |
 Oneil Cruz |
+9000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Odds as of 5-12.
NL MVP odds analysis
The real Shohei Ohtani has stood up. While he hadn't relinquished his status as the MVP betting favorite, the gap was tightening. Well, now he's riding a nine-game hitting streak where he's slashing .405/.500/.973 with five home runs, four doubles, a triple, and 11 RBI. And all that came on the road!
One of those homers was an emphatic blast to put the Los Angeles Dodgers on top of the Arizona Diamondbacks late.
SHOHEI OHTANI, YOU ARE UNREAL. pic.twitter.com/S4jfoRhVV8
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) May 10, 2025
Such a mighty wallop.
The NL race is still wildly competitive, especially when measured against the AL, but if Ohtani is in one of his patented grooves at the plate, look out. In a blink, he could be -1000 with the rest of the Senior Circuit wondering what hit them.
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MVP betting splits
American League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 20.8%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 8.4%
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays - 7.5%
Highest Handle%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 26.6%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 11.9%
- Aaron Judge, Yankees - 8.2%
Biggest Liability
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals
National League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 19.3%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 13.6%
- Ronald Acuna Jr., Braves - 8%
Highest Handle%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 41.6%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 10.8%
- Corbin Carroll, Diamondbacks - 6.6%
Biggest Liability
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Previous MVP winners
Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL MVP Award, with Shohei Ohtani leading the way as a three-time winner. Bryce Harper has won twice with two different teams and Miguel Cabrera was the last player to win back-to-back MVP awards (2012-13). Barry Bonds holds the record for most MVP awards (seven)
The New York Yankees have won the most MVPs in MLB history with 24 while the St. Louis Cardinals are second, leading all NL teams, with 21. No player for the Arizona Diamondbacks, New York Mets, or Tampa Bay Rays has ever won MVP.
Previous AL MVP winners
| Year | American League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Aaron Judge |
| 2023 |  Shohei Ohtani |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge |
| 2021 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2020 |  Jose Abreu |
| 2019 | Mike Trout |
| 2018 | Mookie Betts |
| 2017 |  Jose Altuve |
| 2016 | Mike Trout |
| 2015 |  Josh Donaldson |
Previous NL MVP winners
| Year | National League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2023 | Ronald Acuna Jr. |
| 2022 |  Paul Goldschmidt |
| 2021 | Bryce Harper |
| 2020 | Freddie Freeman |
| 2019 | Cody Bellinger |
| 2018 |  Christian Yelich |
| 2017 |  Giancarlo Stanton |
| 2016 | Kris Bryant |
| 2015 |  Bryce Harper |
Popular MLB futures markets
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MLB MVP odds explained
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Goldschmidt ran away with the MVP award in 2022 his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number for a large part of the season.
- Paul Goldschmidt -6,000
That means that a bettor in August had to wager $6,000 to win $100 by betting on Goldy to win MVP. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.
- Shohei Ohtani +200
That means a bettor would have profited $200 for a $100 wager on Ohtani before the season started.
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
MLB MVP FAQ
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is favored by shorter than even money across the board.
Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani is the betting favorite to win NL MVP.
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge won his second AL MVP trophy after hitting 58 home runs with a .322/.48/.701 slash line.
Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Shohei Ohtani became the first pure DH in MLB history to win an MVP.
Of the 33 players to have multiple MVP trophies, Barry Bonds is far and away the leader with seven. Ten other players have won three and no one besides Bonds has won more.
AL and NL MVP awards are typically announced in mid-November after the World Series has been played. The 2023 awards were announced on November 16.
Since 1931, members of the Baseball Writer's Association of America (BBWAA) have submitted ranked ballots. Two writers from each MLB city vote for the awards in their respective league.
