The 2025 MLB season is quickly approaching as pitchers and catchers have reported for duty and spring training is set to begin in earnest.
Now, we are turning our attention to MLB playoff odds, a simple "yes/no" market positing whether or not a team will make the postseason.
While some teams (the Los Angeles Dodgers) seem like sure things, no playoff seeds are clinched before Opening Day and no team is eliminated. So, let's look at how MLB odds are looking, organized from the biggest favorites to the wildest long shots.
2025 MLB playoff odds
| Team | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
 Los Angeles Dodgers |
-2500 | +1300 |
 Atlanta Braves |
-400 | +270 |
 New York Yankees |
-390 | +300 |
 Philadelphia Phillies |
-265 | +220 |
 New York Mets |
-250 | +205 |
 Houston Astros |
-185 | +145 |
 Baltimore Orioles |
-175 | +145 |
 Chicago Cubs |
-140 | +115 |
 Arizona Diamondbacks |
-125 | +105 |
 Texas Rangers |
-125 | +105 |
 Boston Red Sox |
-115 | -105 |
 Seattle Mariners |
-110 | -110 |
 Minnesota Twins |
+100 | -120 |
 Detroit Tigers |
+110 | -130 |
 Kansas City Royals |
+110 | -130 |
 San Diego Padres |
+110 | -130 |
 Cleveland Guardians |
+120 | -145 |
 Milwaukee Brewers |
+125 | -150 |
 Tampa Bay Rays |
+180 | -220 |
 San Francisco Giants |
+205 | -250 |
 Toronto Blue Jays |
+285 | -360 |
 Cincinnati Reds |
+300 | -400 |
 St. Louis Cardinals |
+360 | -475 |
 Pittsburgh Pirates |
+360 | -475 |
 A's |
+850 | -1400 |
 Washington Nationals |
+850 | -1400 |
 Los Angeles Angels |
+900 | -1800 |
 Miami Marlins |
+2000 | -10000 |
 Colorado Rockies |
+3000 | -10000 |
 Chicago White Sox |
+4000 | -20000 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings on 2-19-25.
MLB playoff odds analysis
To no one's surprise, the Los Angeles Dodgers are far and away favored to reach October after adding Roki Sasaki and Blake Snell to an already imposing rotation. Shohei Ohtani will be back to his two-way tricks and the offense, while older, remains a well-oiled machine. It would be a catastrophic and wholly unexpected result if the Dodgers somehow miss out on the postseason.
Similarly, the Chicago White Sox, Colorado Rockies, and Miami Marlins are circling the drain and do not have a believable path to being a surprise playoff team.
Instead of looking to the extremes for value, it's wiser to target the middle. I like the Detroit Tigers to make the playoffs at +110. The Tigers shocked everyone in the second half last season to earn a wild-card berth and this year's roster is better...at least on paper. Jack Flaherty rejoins the rotation after being dealt to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, helping fill a glaring hole after Tarik Skubal was the only reliable starting pitcher in October. Rookie of the Year candidate Jackson Jobe could get some run as an SP as well while Reese Olson is also penciled in.
Parker Meadows, Riley Greene, Colt Keith, and Jace Jung form part of a young offensive core that can take a step forward, especially if Kerry Carpenter is healthy and Spencer Torkelson can find the skills that made him the first-overall selection in the 2020 draft. Gleyber Torres might not be a sexy free-agent addition, but he adds extra punch in the middle of the lineup.
With the Minnesota Twins on shaky ground and the Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians looking like interesting but flawed teams, Detroit could be rock-solid value.
I know, doubt the Houston Astros at my own risk, but betting on them to miss the playoffs at +145 is very appealing. They added Christian Walker, which shores up first base, and maybe Isaac Paredes benefits from hitting at Daikin Park. But the Astros traded Kyle Tucker and watched Alex Bregman leave in free agency. If Yordan Alvarez's knees again fail him, this offense is not nearly as deep as it once was.
I'm bullish on Hunter Brown and Framber Valdez in the rotation but the rest of the staff is volatile and uncertain. If the Seattle Mariners can even hit a little bit better, they have a rotation and bullpen that can lead them to a division title. The Texas Rangers should be healthier than a year ago and there are enough wild-card competitors in the AL East and AL Central that the Astros don't look as strong a bet as they have for years.
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MLB Postseason format
The MLB playoffs expanded in the 2022 season, adding an extra wild card to both the AL and NL, making it a total of 12 teams in the postseason.
The new format will see the top two division winners in each league (Seeds 1 and 2) get a first-round bye, while the third-best division winner (Seed 3) will host the third wild card (Seed 6) — and the two remaining wild cards (Seeds 4 and 5) will face off — in a three-game series.
Following the Wild Card Round, the No. 1 seed will face the winner of the two wild cards (Seeds 4/5), while the No. 2 seed will face the No. 3 vs No. 6 winner in the Divisional Round.
If the second-best record in the league does not come from a division winner (e.g. the San Francisco Giants in 2021), they will remain the top wild card — and not get a first-round bye.
MLB Postseason Odds FAQs
The Los Angeles Dodgers are drawing the shortest odds to make the playoffs.
MLB expanded its postseason for 2022 by adding an extra wild card to each league, meaning 12 total teams now make the MLB playoffs.
MLB playoffs will begin after the regular season, which ends on September 28.
To be determined.
