The world continues to doubt the Indiana Pacers. They have gone 13-4 this postseason, and yet they are four-bucket underdogs against the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.
Let’s find a way to capitalize on that skepticism with a Pacers vs. Thunder same-game parlay before tip at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Read more in my NBA picks for Sunday, June 8.
Pacers vs Thunder SGP - June 8
Pacers +11
Obi Toppin Over 1.5 threes
Thunder team total Over 119.5
The Indiana Pacers have gone 12-5 against the spread this postseason while the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 7-10 ATS, yet this spread has moved a full point toward the Thunder compared to Game 1. It is distinctly possible that oddsmakers are too committed to their regular-season numbers.
At some point, the Pacers deserve more credit, while the title favorites should be looked at with some doubt.
That thought extends beyond Game 1, though even before the dramatic comeback, Indiana was in position to cover the spread. Oklahoma City has now gone 1-3 ATS in its last four games, and the two games before that relied entirely on brief third-quarter surges to clear those spreads.
Trusting Obi Toppin to hit multiple 3-pointers also extends beyond Game 1, when he went 5-of-8 from deep. The Thunder gladly give up looks from the corner. That is a design of their defense, trusting their defenders to close out from the interior with enough hustle to frazzle shooters.
But that clearly did not impact the 6-foot-9 Toppin, who has shot well from the corner all season. This prop is plus-money priced on its own, and that provides this same-game parlay some value.
Adding in trust that Oklahoma City will pour in points escalates this payout beyond expectations. Combining that team total Over with Indiana covering the spread is obviously counterintuitive.
However, the Thunder were atrocious in transition in Game 1, turning 25 Pacers’ turnovers into just 11 points. Fixing that failure could turn tonight into a high-scoring affair.
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