The NBA Playoffs are back on Sunday with another two-game slate and a chance for the visiting teams to even up their series and reclaim home court advantage.
The Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena in the early game, and the Cleveland Cavaliers face the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse to close out the day.
Here are my three favorite NBA picks for Sunday’s two-game slate, featuring two combo props and a favorable scoring line.
Best NBA player props today
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Turner o22.5 pts + rebs (-120) -
Holmgren dbl-dbl (+130) -
Mitchell o30.5 pts (-120)
NBA player props for May 11
Myles Turner Over 22.5 points + rebounds (-120 at bet365)
Myles Turner has played some great basketball this postseason, so I’m going back to the well and taking the Over on his combo line once again.
The big man has averaged 16.9 points and 5.8 boards across eight playoff games, good for 22.7 points + rebounds.
On the season, Turner averaged 23.7 points + rebounds at home and just 20.5 on the road. He’s in a great position to hit the Over tonight as the Pacers play a second straight game at home.
Turner finished with just 15 points and three boards in Game 3, but he was limited to 26 minutes due to the blowout nature of the game and a brief trip to the locker room in the third quarter.
Turner has logged at least 30 minutes in six of eight playoff games, and he’s hit the Over on this line five times.
Turner has faced Cleveland seven times this season, logging just 13 minutes in one of those games. Across the other six with his normal workload, Turner averaged 23.3 points + rebounds and hit the Over three times.
Chet Holmgren double-double (+130 at bet365)
Chet Holmgren has posted a double-double in back-to-back games, and I’m banking on him extending that streak against the Nuggets today.
OKC’s second-year big man averaged 15.3 points and 9.9 boards across seven matchups with the Nuggets this season, recording four double-doubles. Holmgren averaged 19.5 points and 8.5 rebounds in four matchups with the Nuggets as a rookie and posted two double-doubles.
In 36 games played with at least 20 minutes this season, Holmgren finished with 15 double-doubles. He logged 40 minutes in Game 3, and I expect him to see big minutes in Game 4 as OKC looks to counter Denver’s size.
Holmgren’s points + rebounds line is set at just 25.5 for -115 odds. That’s an appealing wager, but I like his double-double odds at plus money.
Donovan Mitchell Over 30.5 points (-120 at bet365)
Spida is averaging a whopping 41.3 points per game in this series, and there’s no way he’s slowing down now.
Donovan Mitchell posted 33 points in the narrow Game 1 loss, and he dropped 48 in Game 2 as Indiana improbably came from behind to steal the win with a go-ahead triple from Tyrese Haliburton.
Mitchell’s 48-point performance in Game 2 was largely out of necessity, as Evan Mobley, Darius Garland and De’Andre Hunter were sidelined. His Game 3 eruption for 43 points, however, came with a healthy roster around him.
The Cavs desperately needed a victory in Game 3, and Mitchell delivered. With a chance to even the series and regain home court, I expect him to come out firing in Game 4.
In this year’s playoffs, he’s scored 30 or more in five of seven games, and he’s gone for at least 31 in three straight against Indiana.
Since arriving in Cleveland, Mitchell has averaged 31.6 points against the Pacers and scored at least 31 five times.
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NBA odds today
Here are the full NBA odds for all of today’s matchups.
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