Michigan vs Nebraska Prediction, Picks & Odds for September 20 — College Football Week 4

Our Michigan vs. Nebraska predictions expect the defenses to control the tempo and points to be few and far between.

Jeremy Jones - Contributor at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Sep 18, 2025 • 13:24 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 27 hrs
NEB
48 %
MICH
52 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u44.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Justice Haynes Michigan Wolverines BIg Ten college football
Photo By - Imagn Images. Justice Haynes celebrates in the end zone.

Conference play begins this week for both traditional powerhouse programs when the No. 21-ranked Michigan Wolverines travel to Lincoln to take on the 3-0 Nebraska Cornhuskers. 

Points could be at a premium with these two defenses that have yet to allow more than 24 points in a single game. Find out who I like in my Michigan vs. Nebraska predictions and college football picks for Saturday, September 20.

Michigan vs Nebraska prediction

Michigan vs Nebraska best bet: Under 44.5 (-110)

This Michigan Wolverines defense ranks 33rd nationally in scoring, allowing 14.7 points per game. They held Oklahoma, which averages 33.7 points per game, to just 24 points on the road. They were able to force two turnovers as well.  

And while this Nebraska Cornhuskers defense has only had one big test, they held Cincinnati to only 17 points on a neutral field. They also forced two turnovers and held them to only 271 total yards. Cincy scored 34 and 70 points in their other two games. 

The Nebraska offense had a lot of yards and success in that game, but they struggled in the red zone and were held to just 20 points. They're going to struggle to find the endzone consistently against this Wolverines defense. 

Michigan will be without a starting guard, and freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood has been very inconsistent with a 57.5% completion percentage. This will be a close, low-scoring game, making the Under the best play on the board. 

Michigan vs Nebraska same-game parlay

To add to the Under, I'm going to take Underwood to struggle in the passing game and Dane Key to find the endzone. Nebraska has one of the best passing offenses in the country, and Key has a touchdown in each game this season. 

Michigan vs Nebraska 3-leg SGP

  • Under 44.5
  • Bryce Underwood Under 179.5 passing yards
  • Dane Key anytime touchdown

Our deep-ball SGP: Bully ball

  • I'm adding Justice Haynes to find room in the run game. Cincy could not pass the ball, but did find holes in the run game against Nebraska.  

Michigan vs Nebraska 4-leg SGP

  • Under 44.5
  • Bryce Underwood Under 179.5 passing yards
  • Dane Key anytime touchdown
  • Justice Haynes Over 85.5 rushing yards

Michigan vs Nebraska odds

  • Spread: Michigan -1 | Nebraska +1
  • Moneyline: Michigan -125 | Nebraska +105
  • Over/Under: Over 44.5 | Under 44.5

Michigan vs Nebraska trend to know

Michigan has cashed the Under in four of its last five games for +2.9 units and a 51% ROI. Find more college football betting trends for Michigan vs Nebraska.

How to watch Michigan vs Nebraska

Location Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE
Date Saturday, September 20, 2025
Kickoff 3:30 p.m. ET
TV CBS/Paramount+

Michigan vs Nebraska latest injuries

Michigan vs Nebraska weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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