MLB Home Run Props, Picks & Odds Today for May 13: Olson Keeps Power Surge Alive

Matt Olson is starting to heat up at the plate, and we expect the Atlanta Braves first baseman to thrive against Michael Soroka and the Nationals’ bleak bullpen.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
May 13, 2025 • 12:39 ET • 4 min read
Matt Olson Atlanta Braves MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28).

Atlanta Braves slugger Matt Olson has been coming alive over the last month, and my MLB player props will dive into why he could leave the ballpark against the Washington Nationals tonight.

Carlos Santana and Kerry Carpenter will also be included in my MLB picks for Tuesday, May 13. 

Best MLB home run props today

  • Braves Matt Olson (+350)
  • Guardians Carlos Santana (+425)
  • Tigers Kerry Carpenter (+500)

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HR picks for May 13

Matt Olson (+350 at DraftKings)

Matt Olson has always been known as one of the better power hitters in the big leagues. The Atlanta Braves first baseman smacked 54 home runs two years ago and added 29 last season.

As for 2025, he’s only gone deep seven times so far, but the slugger has launched six of those bombs in the last month. The veteran also enters tonight with a three-game hitting streak, including two dingers in his last eight contests.

Olson is set to face former Braves starter Mike Soroka, who is struggling immensely. The righty has an ERA over 7.00 against his ex-team.

The Washington Nationals also have the worst bullpen in the MLB, giving Olson even more of a chance to put one in the bleachers once Soroka exits. Six of Olson’s homers have also come off right-handers.

Carlos Santana (+425 at DraftKings)

Carlos Santana is back in a Cleveland Guardians uniform, hitting .223 with four home runs and 19 RBI. He’s gone deep twice in May and will have a favorable matchup tonight as the Milwaukee Brewers send Quinn Priester to the mound.

Priester owns an ERA north of 5.00 and has surrendered three home runs so far this season. Santana is 2-for-3 lifetime against the right-hander, including a homer to boot. 

All four of Santana’s long balls have come against RHP, so the veteran slugger should thrive in this spot. 

Kerry Carpenter (+500 at DraftKings)

Detroit Tigers' outfielder Kerry Carpenter has been treating the cover off the baseball, batting .288 with nine home runs and 21 RBI. 

In fact, Carpenter is hitting .341 in May with a pair of homers. The Tigers will have it tough tonight as the Boston Red Sox hand Brayan Bello the ball, who sports an ERA just over 2.00. However, Carpenter has gone 1-for-2 against him with a solo bomb.

Five of Carpenter’s homers have come at Comerica Park, and seven of them are off righties. A lot is pointing towards the youngster hitting double digits in homers in Motown tonight. 

  1. Aaron Judge Yankees (+220)
  2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Blue Jays (+550)
  3. Kyle Schwarber Phillies (+330)

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications. He's currently a senior editor at ClutchPoints and has published work for numerous betting websites in the past. 

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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