The Seattle Mariners have some of the most extreme home/away hitting splits in recent memory.
That, combined with the weak-hitting Pirates coming to town, has me betting on no runs to be scored in the first inning of their clash on Saturday night.
My MLB picks for today are also betting on low-scoring starts in Miami and San Diego.
Here are my best free YRFI and NRFI bets for Saturday, July 5.
Best NRFI/YRFI bets today
Brewers vs
Marlins: NRFI
Rangers vs
Padres: NRFI
Pirates vs
Mariners: NRFI
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NRFI/YRFI bets for July 5
Brewers at Marlins: NRFI (-110 at ProphetX)
Both of these teams are mediocre at the dish, and there will be a 16 mph breeze blowing towards the infield at loanDepot Park today.
The Milwaukee Brewers are 21st in the majors in slugging percentage (.382) while ranking 26th in run first inning percentage (23.9%). Meanwhile, the Miami Marlins slug just .372 at home — the sixth-lowest number in the majors.
Milwaukee will send rookie Chad Patrick to the hill tonight, and he has a solid 3.51 ERA in 17 starts. Marlins righty Cal Quantrill has struggled, but he's been reliable in the opening frame, where he has posted a 1.69 ERA with an OBA of .207.
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch:
Marlins - FanDuel Sports Network FloridaBrewers - FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
- Bet: NRFI
Rangers at Padres: NRFI (-107 at ProphetX)
The Texas Rangers are just 28th in the majors in OPS (.660), and tonight they'll be on the road at pitcher-friendly PETCO Park.
Texas is starting Patrick Corbin, who is mediocre but tends to get off to good starts. The veteran has a 1.20 ERA with an OBA of .140 in the first inning.
Meanwhile, the San Diego Padres have an OPS of just .652 against lefties, and they've gone ice-cold at the dish. They are batting .214 while plating 3.17 runs per game over the last 15 days.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch:
Padres - Padres Television Network Presented by UC San Diego HealthRangers - Rangers Sports Network, Victory+National - MLBN (out-of-market only)
- Bet: NRFI
Pirates at Mariners: NRFI (-120 at ProphetX)
The Seattle Mariners lead the majors in run first-inning rate (45.5%) and have an OPS of .769 on the road. However, they rank 26th in run first inning rate (20.5%) with an OPS of .687 at pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park.
Today, they host the Pittsburgh Pirates, who have an MLB-worst OPS of .600 on the road. They'll have a tough time generating offense against M's starter, Luis Castillo. The three-time All-Star has a 2.60 ERA with an OBA of .196 at home.
The Buccos respond with rookie Mike Burrows. Burrows struggled in his first two starts of the year but has shown improvement, posting a 2.73 ERA across six starts in June.
- Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch:
Mariners - ROOTNWPirates - SportsNet-PITNational - FS1
- Bet: NRFI
❓What are NRFI and YRFI bets❓
NRFI (No Run First Inning) and YRFI (Yes Run First Inning) bets add a thrilling twist to the start of an MLB game. A NRFI bet is a wager that no runs will be scored in the first inning. You're betting that the starting pitchers for both teams will get through the first inning without allowing any runs, whether by striking out batters, inducing ground balls, or through solid defensive play.
A YRFI bet is the exact opposite. You're betting that at least one run will be scored in the first inning. In this case, you’re hoping for an early offensive burst such as a leadoff walk, a timely hit, or even a home run.
NRFI and YRFI bets add excitement to the early part of a game and offer immediate gratification for bettors looking for a quick resolution.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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