Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Cordell's prediction: Gleyber Torres in prime position to have a bounce back performance against the Guardians.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Jul 5, 2025 • 11:54 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Gleyber Torres Detroit Tigers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Detroit Tigers second baseman Gleyber Torres (25) celebrates after driving in two runs with a double.

The Detroit Tigers have been one of the league’s best offensive teams this season, scoring an average of five runs per game.

Gleyber Torres has played a big part in that, hitting .279 with a .385 on base percentage in his first season with his new team.

My Tigers vs. Guardians predictions expect Torres to make his mark offensively in Game 2 of this three-game set.

Let’s break it all down with my MLB picks for July 5.

Tigers vs Guardians prediction

My Tigers vs Guardians best bet: Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 singles (-130 at Bet365)

Gleyber Torres has performed far better against left-handed pitching this season. He’s hitting .300 off lefties and sporting a solid .350 wOBA and 45% hard hit rate.

Those numbers drop off dramatically when facing righties, with Torres sporting a .272 average, .295 wOBA, and 36% hard hit rate.

The good news is Torres draws a lefty tonight in Logan Allen. Perhaps more importantly, a struggling lefty.

Allen owns a 4.85 FIP over the last month, good for 20th of today’s 30 projected starters. He has allowed a .284 average to right-handed batters in that time, far higher than the .174 average he’s held lefties to.

Torres has only gone back-to-back games without a single twice over the last 30 days, which is pretty impressive when playing near daily. This is a good spot for him to get right back on track.

Tigers vs Guardians same-game parlay (SGP)

Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 singles

Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 home runs

Detroit Tigers moneyline

Spencer Torkelson has hit for a ton of power this season, especially against left-handed pitchers. He’s homered in 25% of his games when facing a lefty starter. He profiles very well against Allen’s pitch mix as well, owning a .359 ISO against his three-most used pitches.

The Cleveland Guardians have lost nine of the last 10 and scored more than four runs only once in that span. If the Detroit Tigers’ hot offense can get to Logan Allen, it’ll be difficult for the Guardians to keep up.

Tigers vs Guardians odds

Tigers vs Guardians live odds

Tigers vs Guardians opening odds

  • Moneyline: Detroit -140 | Cleveland +120
  • Run line: Detroit -1.5 (+120) | Cleveland +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-125) | Under 8.5 (+105)

Tigers vs Guardians trend

Gleyber Torres has hit a single in 10 of his last 16 games against Cleveland. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Guardians.

How to watch Tigers vs Guardians and game info

Location Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Date Saturday, 7-5-2025
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV FOX
Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize
(8-2, 2.86 ERA)
Guardians starting pitcher Logan Allen
(5-6, 4.27 ERA)

Tigers vs Guardians latest injuries

Tigers vs Guardians weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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