Cubs vs Twins Prediction, Picks & Best Bets — Thursday, July 10

Cordell's prediction: Expect Trevor Larnach to do damage against Cubs starter Colin Rea.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Jul 10, 2025 • 11:26 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Trevor Larnach Minnesota Twins MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Trevor Larnach reacts after getting to first base.

The first two games of this series didn’t feature the fireworks anticipated, with just 15 runs being scored in total.

There’s plenty of reason to anticipate a higher scoring affair in the finale, which is why I’m backing the bats with my Cubs vs. Twins predictions. Let’s take a closer look at my July 10 MLB picks.

Cubs vs Twins prediction

My Cubs vs Twins best bet: Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-137 at Caesars)

Trevor Larnach has crushed right-handed pitching this season, especially on home soil. He's hitting .319 with a .989 OPS and .422 wOBA against righties, all of which lead regular Minnesota Twins players.

He has a mouthwatering matchup this afternoon against Colin Rea. The veteran righty has struggled mightily to slow down left-handed bats. Rea has allowed a .320 average, 14.8% barrel rate, and 10 homers against lefties. They are consistently hitting for average and power against him.

His numbers are even worse when isolating day games. Left-handed bats are sporting a .340 average and 17.6% barrel rate spanning 118 batters faced.

Rea throws the fastball more than 50% of the time against lefties. That should play into the hands of Larnach, who owns a .297 average and whopping .432 ISO against fastballs when playing at home.

Cubs vs Twins same-game parlay (SGP)

Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI

Matt Wallner Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI

Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 total bases

Matt Wallner is another lefty who profiles very well against Rea. Wallner ranks third on the Twins in wOBA at home against right-handed pitching. Isolating day games, he leads the way with a remarkable 20.7% barrel rate. He has a lot of power and it should shine through in this matchup.

Going the other way, I like Kyle Tucker to make some noise for the Chicago Cubs. He has averaged 2.2 bases per game on the road this season and owns a 47% clear rate overall despite falling short in eight consecutive outings. He is too talented not to ramp things up sooner rather than later.

Cubs vs Twins odds

Cubs vs Twins live odds

Cubs vs Twins opening odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago -110 | Minnesota -110
  • Run line: Chicago -1.5 (+143) | Minnesota +1.5 (-169)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9

Cubs vs Twins trend

Trevor Larnach has cleared 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in 55% of his home games this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Twins.

How to watch Cubs vs Twins and game info

Location Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Date Thursday, 7-10-2025
First pitch 1:10 p.m. ET
TV MLBN
Cubs starting pitcher Colin Rea
(6-3, 4.13 ERA)
Twins starting pitcher Chris Paddack
(3-7, 4.64 ERA)

Cubs vs Twins latest injuries

Cubs vs Twins weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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