It’s been a slower week in the WNBA, and we have only two games on the betting board Friday night.
The Atlanta Dream are picking up steam as they travel to the Connecticut Sun, while the Los Angeles Sparks and Dallas Wings do battle in the West.
I dig into the best WNBA player props and offer my best WNBA picks for Friday, June 6.
WNBA player prop bets for June 6
Gray o2.5 threes (+116)
Mabrey o3.5 assists (+110)
Siegrist o4.5 rebounds (-125)
Today's best WNBA player props bets
Allisha Gray Over 2.5 3-pointers (+116 at FanDuel)
Allisha Gray’s activity from outside has dwindled a bit in recent outings, despite her pouring in 25 and 28 points in her last two contests.
After averaging almost nine 3-point attempts in the opening four games, she’s put forth just 12 total shots from long range the past three outings, making seven triples. That’s brought her 3-point prop down, with the Over 2.5 makes from deep paying plus-money at most books.
Under new head coach Karl Smesko, the Atlanta Dream are taking almost 31 shots from beyond the arc per game, adopting an up-tempo scheme that either gets to the rim or lets it fly from distance.
Friday’s foe, the Connecticut Sun, are by far the worst team in the league and ranks dead last in defensive rating (112.8). The Sun are allowing opponents to connect on better than 40% of their 3-pointers, averaging 9.7 makes from outside.
These teams met back on May 25, with the Dream blasting the Sun 79-55. Grey finished 2 for 4 from 3-point land in that game, but today’s projections sit at 2.9 triples. Atlanta also returns point guard Jordin Canada tonight, which allows Grey to play off the ball more as the No. 2 guard and focus on scoring.
Marina Mabrey Over 3.5 Assists (+110 at bet365)
Marina Mabrey was on the wrong side of history in her last appearance. The veteran guard finished with an all-time low plus/minus of -55 in the Sun’s one-sided squash against the New York Liberty on June 1.
Mabrey’s much better than that dismal stat line and is especially vital to Connecticut’s offense with fellow guard Lindsay Allen still sidelined with a bum hamstring. That puts the ball in Mabrey’s hands and ups her playmaking possibilities.
Before dishing out only two assists in the loss to the Liberty (in which the Sun shot just 31%), Mabrey had recorded four or more dimes in three of the previous four outings, including four helpers in the loss at Atlanta on May 25.
The forecast for Friday’s game sits above 3.5 assists with those projections closer to four dimes from Mabrey. In their first meeting, Connecticut shot just 31% at Atlanta. This will be just the second home game for the Sun since May 20, which should help the offense convert Mabrey’s set-ups.
Maddy Siegrist Over 4.5 Rebounds (-125 at bet365)
With Paige Bueckers still out of the lineup, the Dallas Wings have gone big and moved third-year player Maddy Siegrist into the starting five.
The 6-foot-2 forward has logged 30-plus minutes the past two games, scoring 11 points in each outing while adding rebounding totals of eight and nine boards.
Siegrist has specifically been a force on the offensive glass, with a total of 11 offensive rebounds in those outings. That’s led to easy putbacks and a collective 11 second-chance points.
Tonight’s foe, the Los Angeles Sparks, has given up extra possessions to start the season, averaging 11.3 second-chance points allowed.
With Bueckers still recovering from a concussion Friday, Siegrist is projected for 30 minutes of floor time. Game models call for more than 11 points and between 5.6 and 6.8 rebounds.
Her solo prop for points sits between 10.5 and 11.5 O/U while her rebounding total is at 4.5 Over -125.
Not only am I betting the Over 4.5 rebounds, but if we combine the milestone markets of 10+ points and 5+ rebounds in a same-game parlay, we pack a nice punch with a +200 payout.
Today’s WNBA games
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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